GenevaModels put 2100 warming between 1.6C and 3.3C.

That is the narrowest range in four generations, and negotiators will cite it.

A small international group of modelling teams selects which pathways get simulated, not measured, deciding what governments can cite.

Full Earth-system simulations using these scenarios feed the next IPCC assessment, AR7.

How each outlet framed it
Carbon Brief
highlights CMIP7 revises high-end emissions downward, deems coal-dominated 21st century scenarios 'no longer plausible'

Sources: Carbon Brief