PanamaHarlequin toads persist only where chytrid is seasonally weak.
In Panama, releases of captive-bred toads have suffered high losses, so release sites need ranking.
Chytrid severity swings with temperature and humidity, and most species persist only where over 80% of seasons are unsuitable for it.
Only the variable harlequin toad lives at chytrid-suitable sites, which the researchers say fits evolved resistance.
The models also flag places where wild populations, unseen for years, might remain.
How each outlet framed it
- Phys.org leans favorable
- Maps climatic refugia in Panama unsuitable for chytrid but suitable for amphibians, enabling reintroduction of species extinct since 2009
Sources: Phys.org