IndonesiaModels put El Niño’s peak at 4C, a record.
Analysis of 14 climate models finds it will push global temperatures to records in 2027.
El Niño releases ocean heat, and September’s 2.84C anomaly in the central Pacific was the highest recorded.
“It may end up being the strongest El Niño event in the past millennium,” said Zeke Hausfather, Carbon Brief’s climate contributor.
10 of 14 models expect the peak in December, the rest in November.
How each outlet framed it
- Carbon Brief
- cites 600+ forecasts from 14 models putting the Niño3.4 peak near 4C, pointing to record global heat in 2027
Sources: Carbon Brief