Fed target rate
4 %
+0.25 pts month
The range the Federal Reserve sets for overnight lending between US banks. Every dollar borrowing cost is priced off it, from mortgages and Treasury yields to the debts of governments and companies far outside the United States.
Sep 2026 · 4.00 % · −1.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers24
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2024high | 5.00 % | |
| Nov 2024 | 4.75 % | −0.25 pts |
| Dec 2024 | 4.50 % | −0.25 pts |
| Jan 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Feb 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Mar 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Apr 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| May 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Jun 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Jul 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Aug 2025 | 4.50 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 2025 | 4.25 % | −0.25 pts |
| Oct 2025 | 4.00 % | −0.25 pts |
| Nov 2025 | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
| Dec 2025low | 3.75 % | −0.25 pts |
| Jan 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Feb 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Mar 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Apr 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| May 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Jun 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Jul 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Aug 2026 | 3.75 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 2026latest | 4.00 % | +0.25 pts |
Lately
Inflation has run above the Fed's target for 5.5 years, and most Federal Reserve officials now expect another hike by year-end, a stance that earned Warsh praise from the IMF. Traders put 80% odds on a December move as 30-year Treasury yields reached their highest since 2002. Trump convened a panel on removing governor Lisa Cook.
Mentioned in · 15
- Nobel Rewards Shock-Management Models The New York Times
- IMF Meets Under Energy Shock Al Jazeera Online
- Trump Convenes Cook Removal Panel Reuters
- Bessent Hires Judy Shelton Reuters
- Gold Slides Despite War Reuters
- Fed Split Over Hikes Reuters
- IMF Praises Fed Chair TASS
- Long Bond Yields Surge Bloomberg Business
- Fed Overhauls Bank Supervision Reuters
- Fed Reviews Bank Private Credit semafor.com
- Treasury Runs Out Options Reuters
- Justice Department Drops Powell Probe Financial Times News
- Hiring Stalls, Fed Hesitates Reuters
- Japan Bond Yields Climb Financial Times News
- Fed Watchdog Clears Powell The New York Times