AI bubble burst in 2026?
8 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if an AI bubble bursts by the end of 2026, as its rules define one. Its price is what traders will stake on the boom in AI chips and data-centre spending unwinding this year.
Nov 6 · 8.00 % · +2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers29
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7low | 6.00 % | |
| Oct 8 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 7.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 7.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 18 | 7.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 8.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21high | 11.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 9.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 26 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 10.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 8.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 10.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 31 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 1 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 2 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 3 | 9.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 5 | 7.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 6 | 8.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 6latest | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
The month's prediction-market news was about the markets themselves: the CFTC suing Utah over its ban on Kalshi, a Pentagon memo on insider bets, and Polymarket pledging $3.9 million back to victims of a site compromise. None of it bears on AI valuations or explains the price.