Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
86 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the US Federal Reserve raises its policy rate at least once more before 2026 ends. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on inflation data and on what Fed officials say.
Sep 30 · 86.00 % · +7.5% vs the window’s open
the numbers15
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17low | 80.00 % | |
| Sep 18 | 84.00 % | +5.0% |
| Sep 19 | 84.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 20 | 89.00 % | +6.0% |
| Sep 21 | 86.00 % | −3.4% |
| Sep 22 | 86.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 23 | 87.00 % | +1.2% |
| Sep 24 | 91.00 % | +4.6% |
| Sep 25high | 92.00 % | +1.1% |
| Sep 26 | 91.00 % | −1.1% |
| Sep 27 | 91.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 28 | 91.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 29 | 91.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 30 | 86.00 % | −5.5% |
| Sep 30latest | 86.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
The Fed voted 12-0 to raise rates because a closed strait had pushed up prices, defied Trump's calls to lower rates, and signalled more to come. That turned the bet into a question of whether it would move again this year. A week later, traders were pricing in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027.