Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether the US Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becomes law in 2026. The bill would split oversight of crypto tokens between the SEC and the CFTC, settling which regulator the industry answers to.
Oct 22 · 5.00 % · −1.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers27
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| Sep 23 | 6.00 % | |
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| Sep 25high | 7.00 % | +1.00 pts |
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| Sep 29low | 5.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 6.00 % | +1.00 pts |
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| Oct 13 | 6.00 % | +1.00 pts |
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| Oct 19 | 5.00 % | −1.00 pts |
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| Oct 22latest | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
The fortnight's news from Washington was about prediction markets themselves, not the bill: 39 states and 145 tribal nations urged the Supreme Court to take up their status, and Kalshi's CEO said state-led oversight would push them out. None of it touched the Clarity Act's path to a signature.