France state of emergency by Dec 31, 2026?
14 %
−5 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether France declares an état d'urgence, the 1955 regime that lets the government ban gatherings and order searches and house arrests without a judge. It was invoked after the 2015 Paris attacks and in New Caledonia in 2024.
Oct 23 · 14.00 % · −2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers5
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | 16.00 % | |
| Oct 20high | 23.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 21low | 13.00 % | −10.0 pts |
| Oct 23 | 19.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 23latest | 14.00 % | −5.00 pts |