Merz Chancellor Germany before 2027?
17 %
+21.43% day
A Polymarket contract settling on whether Friedrich Merz holds the German chancellorship before 2027. Its price is what traders pay for that outcome in cents on the dollar, and it moves with coalition arithmetic in the Bundestag.
Sep 8 · 17.00 % · 0.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9 | 17.00 % | |
| Aug 10 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 11 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 13 | 18.00 % | +5.9% |
| Aug 14 | 18.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15high | 19.00 % | +5.6% |
| Aug 16 | 18.00 % | −5.3% |
| Aug 17 | 18.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 18.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 18.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 17.00 % | −5.6% |
| Aug 21 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 18.00 % | +5.9% |
| Aug 23 | 17.00 % | −5.6% |
| Aug 24 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 16.00 % | −5.9% |
| Aug 27 | 14.00 % | −12.5% |
| Aug 28 | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29 | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31 | 13.00 % | −7.1% |
| Sep 1 | 13.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2low | 12.00 % | −7.7% |
| Sep 3 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 5 | 13.00 % | +8.3% |
| Sep 6 | 13.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 14.00 % | +7.7% |
| Sep 8 | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8latest | 17.00 % | +21.4% |