Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?
85 %
+29 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Google makes its Gemini 4.0 model publicly available by the deadline in the question. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on leaks, launch events and Google's own announcements.
Oct 13 · 85.00 % · +40.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers6
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | 45.00 % | |
| Oct 10 | 52.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 42.00 % | −10.0 pts |
| Oct 12low | 28.00 % | −14.0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 56.00 % | +28.0 pts |
| Oct 13latest | 85.00 % | +29.0 pts |