Houthi–Saudi ceasefire by Dec 31?
29 %
+1 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the Houthis and Saudi Arabia agree a ceasefire before the year ends. Its price is what traders will pay on the war between Yemen's Houthi movement and the kingdom ending, and so on Red Sea and Gulf oil risk.
Nov 7 · 29.00 % · −13.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers11
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | 42.00 % | |
| Oct 27 | 40.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 46.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 30high | 49.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 48.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 35.00 % | −13.0 pts |
| Nov 3 | 33.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 32.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 30.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 6low | 28.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 7latest | 29.00 % | +1.00 pts |
Lately
Both sides escalated instead of talking. A Saudi-led coalition said it shot down a Houthi drone in the Mecca region, which the Houthis denied, and Saudi strikes then killed 17 civilians in Yemen, per Iranian agency Mehr. Riyadh signed a defense pact with Damascus, Syrian trainers arrived, and the Houthis claimed 6 strikes inside the kingdom.