Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
26 %
+4 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Houthi forces enter Aden, the southern port that Yemen's internationally recognised government made its interim capital after the Houthis took Sanaa. Its price is what traders pay for that outcome.
Oct 15 · 26.00 % · −6.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | 32.00 % | |
| Sep 17 | 33.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Sep 18 | 33.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 19 | 33.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 20 | 35.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Sep 21 | 30.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Sep 22high | 36.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Sep 23 | 24.00 % | −12.0 pts |
| Sep 24 | 23.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 25 | 28.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Sep 26 | 28.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 27 | 27.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 25.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 29 | 24.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 30low | 22.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 22.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 28.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 26.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 23.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 33.00 % | +10.0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 26.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 28.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 25.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 26.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 25.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 26.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 22.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 15latest | 26.00 % | +4.00 pts |
Lately
The ground war ran the other way from Aden: the Giants Brigades drove the government's advance up the coast toward Bab al-Mandeb, taking Dhubab and cutting the Mocha road. The Houthis reached Aden only by missile, one landing near the airport runway before a flight. None of it fell on the days the price moved.