IAEA visits Iran nuclear site by Dec 31?
8 %
−3 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors visit an Iranian nuclear site by the year's end. Those inspections are the only outside check on how much enriched uranium Iran holds.
Nov 13 · 8.00 % · −6.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | 14.00 % | |
| Oct 15 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 13.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17 | 13.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 18 | 13.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 12.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 15.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 18.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 14.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 10.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 30high | 23.00 % | +13.0 pts |
| Oct 31 | 14.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 18.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 13.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 16.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 12.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 9.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Nov 6 | 15.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Nov 7 | 16.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 8 | 17.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 9 | 14.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Nov 10 | 15.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 11 | 14.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 12 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 13 | 11.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 13latest | 8.00 % | −3.00 pts |
Lately
The IAEA formally urged Tehran to restore inspector access, and Iran replied that inspections are impossible in the current security situation. That week Iran's Assembly of Experts urged leaving the nuclear treaty, and Washington offered up to $20 million to informants on Iran's nuclear program while Trump weighed renewed strikes.