Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
40 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract that settles yes if Iran closes all of its airspace before December 31. A full closure signals Tehran expects strikes, and forces airlines flying between Europe and Asia onto longer routes.
Oct 23 · 40.00 % · +16.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers29
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 24.00 % | |
| Sep 25 | 22.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 26 | 24.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Sep 27 | 28.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 28.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 29 | 23.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 1 | 25.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 2 | 23.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 4low | 19.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 19.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 20.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 22.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 25.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 24.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 24.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 26.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 29.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 28.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 28.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 28.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 32.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 33.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 31.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 31.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 30.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 23high | 40.00 % | +10.0 pts |
| Oct 23latest | 40.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
The Atlantic reported Trump is weighing days of strikes on Iran's nuclear sites, missiles and energy infrastructure right after the 3 November midterms. Rezaei answered that Tehran could hit data centres, cables and AI sites in 7 Gulf states, as the Revolutionary Guard said 7 tankers were hit in Hormuz.