Iran full airspace closure by Nov 30, 2026?
21 %
+2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Iran shuts its entire airspace to civilian flights before the deadline in its title. Iran has closed its skies before during strikes, and the closure reroutes Gulf-to-Europe air traffic.
Nov 6 · 21.00 % · −3.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers9
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | 24.00 % | |
| Oct 30 | 30.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 35.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 28.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 24.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Nov 4high | 36.00 % | +12.0 pts |
| Nov 5low | 19.00 % | −17.0 pts |
| Nov 6 | 19.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 6latest | 21.00 % | +2.00 pts |
Lately
The price rose after the US struck Qeshm Island on the eve of the midterms and Trump said the Iran war would end "whenever I want". It fell back as Brent slid on peace hopes and Vance said the war had cost the party Congress. Meanwhile a third US carrier strike group is one port call from the war.