Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
11 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Iran and Oman, the two states on either shore of the Strait of Hormuz, reach an agreement on the strait by November 30. The price is what traders pay for a yes.
Nov 13 · 11.00 % · −17.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14high | 28.00 % | |
| Oct 15 | 25.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 24.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 23.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 18 | 22.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 22.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 22.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 28.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 22.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 22.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 17.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 18.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 14.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 31 | 18.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 20.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 18.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 21.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 23.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 21.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 6 | 15.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Nov 7 | 14.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 8 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 9 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 10 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 11low | 11.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 12 | 13.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 13 | 11.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 13latest | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Iran said Oman had agreed Hormuz shipping lanes, a claim carried by Russia's TASS, but the same day the Revolutionary Guards said 3 tankers hit mines and kept the strait shut. A day later two supertankers carrying over 4 million barrels exploded on a route Iran had not authorised, and Trump said Washington no longer needs a deal with Iran.