Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
7 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Iran and Oman, the two states whose coasts form the Strait of Hormuz, reach an agreement on the strait before its deadline. About a fifth of the world's seaborne oil passes through that channel.
Oct 18 · 7.00 % · −27.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers31
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | 34.00 % | |
| Sep 20 | 26.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Sep 21 | 33.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Sep 22 | 32.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 23high | 35.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Sep 24 | 35.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 25 | 34.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 26 | 35.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Sep 27 | 26.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 24.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 29 | 30.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 23.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 21.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 2 | 17.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 18.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 14.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 17.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 26.00 % | +9.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 20.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 19.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 14.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 17.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 14.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 8.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 18low | 7.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 18latest | 7.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Bets on a deal faded as attacks on shipping mounted: 12 ships were attacked near Hormuz in one week, two sank, and Iran's army said the strait stays closed until its rights are respected. Araghchi's reopening proposal, carried by Press TV, blamed the US-Israeli war, while US planners drafted strikes with a 21,600-pound bomb.