Iran-Oman Hormuz pact by Sept 14?
19 %
-5.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Iran and Oman sign an agreement governing the Strait of Hormuz before 14 September. It pays out on a signed pact, so its price tracks how close the Gulf's main mediation channel is to a deal.
Sep 12 · 19.00 % · −13.6% vs the window’s open
the numbers16
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29high | 22.00 % | |
| Aug 30 | 11.00 % | −50.0% |
| Aug 31 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 13.00 % | +18.2% |
| Sep 2 | 10.00 % | −23.1% |
| Sep 3low | 5.00 % | −50.0% |
| Sep 4 | 6.00 % | +20.0% |
| Sep 5 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 6 | 5.00 % | −16.7% |
| Sep 7 | 19.00 % | +280.0% |
| Sep 8 | 16.00 % | −15.8% |
| Sep 9 | 14.00 % | −12.5% |
| Sep 10 | 13.00 % | −7.1% |
| Sep 11 | 11.00 % | −15.4% |
| Sep 12 | 20.00 % | +81.8% |
| Sep 12latest | 19.00 % | −5.0% |
Lately
Tehran agreed to meet Gulf states in Muscat over the strait's future and is weighing service fees for transit, which would convert a wartime blockade threat into a standing revenue arrangement. Against that, Iranian strikes damaged eight F-15s at Jordan's Azraq base and the IAEA referred Iran to the Security Council for the first time in 20 years.