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DAILY · Polymarket

Israel blames Iran for plane stabbing by Oct 31?

9 % -10.00% day

A Polymarket contract that pays out if Israel formally blames Iran for a stabbing aboard a passenger aircraft before its deadline. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, not a forecast of it.

Oct 6 · 9.00 % · −79.5% vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers7
whenvaluechange
Oct 1high44.00 %
Oct 218.00 %−59.1%
Oct 317.00 %−5.6%
Oct 412.00 %−29.4%
Oct 5low5.00 %−58.3%
Oct 610.00 %+100.0%
Oct 6latest9.00 %−10.0%

Lately

The bet follows a cockpit altercation on flydubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv. The UAE opened a terrorism probe and Trump vowed a tough response if Iran was linked, but Israel's own agencies then turned on each other over the co-pilot's vetting, while the US answered Iran's 7-day plan through Qatar.

  1. Israeli Agencies Trade Blame
  2. Iran Weighs US Reply