Israel: any coalition wins majority?
8 %
−9 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if any bloc of parties wins a majority of Israel's 120-seat Knesset. Israeli elections rarely produce one outright, and a hung result has repeatedly sent the country back to the polls.
Oct 27 · 8.00 % · −14.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers18
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | 22.00 % | |
| Oct 9 | 23.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 20.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 17.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 14.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 20.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 15high | 26.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 24.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 14.00 % | −10.0 pts |
| Oct 18 | 21.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 21.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 14.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 15.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 14.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 13.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 17.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 27latest | 8.00 % | −9.00 pts |
Lately
Israel votes Tuesday with polls putting Eisenkot 8 to 10 points ahead of Netanyahu, a gap between two leaders rather than a count of seats. The final week was dominated by the West Bank operation Netanyahu ordered after a shooting in Hebron, which displaced 2,200 people. Nothing reported says whether either bloc can reach a majority.