Moody's or S&P downgrade France by Nov 2026?
18 %
−24 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Moody's or S&P cuts France's sovereign credit rating before its deadline. Those ratings feed into what Paris pays to borrow and which funds can hold its bonds.
Oct 31 · 18.00 % · −50.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers15
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | 68.00 % | |
| Oct 11 | 71.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 12high | 84.00 % | +13.0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 76.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 77.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 78.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 72.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 80.00 % | +8.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 77.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 75.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 46.00 % | −29.0 pts |
| Oct 25 | 31.00 % | −15.0 pts |
| Oct 28 | 33.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 42.00 % | +9.00 pts |
| Oct 31latest | 18.00 % | −24.0 pts |