US-Iran senior meeting by Nov 30, 2026?
10 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if senior US and Iranian officials meet in person before its deadline. Its price is what traders will stake on direct talks between two governments that have rarely sat at one table.
Nov 13 · 10.00 % · −22.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers23
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14high | 32.00 % | |
| Oct 16 | 24.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 24.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 23.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 25.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 26.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 23.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 25 | 26.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 23.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 27.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 26.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 30.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 27.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 26.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 6 | 26.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 7 | 25.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 8 | 28.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 9 | 14.00 % | −14.0 pts |
| Nov 10 | 20.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Nov 11 | 19.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 12 | 17.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 13low | 10.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Nov 13latest | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Tehran escalated rather than talked: the Revolutionary Guards said 3 tankers hit Hormuz mines and kept the strait shut, the Assembly of Experts urged leaving the nuclear treaty, and the Guards claimed to have destroyed a US radar in Bahrain. Trump held off new strikes after Gulf neighbours asked him to, while Netanyahu pressed him almost daily to resume.