Oil ≥$85 Nov 2 and Dems win Senate?
59 %
+8 pts day
A combined bet that pays only if two things are both true: oil trades at or above $85 a barrel on 2 November, and Democrats take control of the US Senate in the midterm elections held the next day.
Oct 17 · 59.00 % · +8.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers5
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13low | 51.00 % | |
| Oct 14 | 52.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 51.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 51.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17latest | 59.00 % | +8.00 pts |
Lately
The news about prediction markets concerned who regulates them. 39 states and 145 tribal nations urged Supreme Court review, and Kalshi's CEO said state-led oversight would push the markets out. None of it touches oil or the Senate race.