Perim Island freed of Houthis by Dec 31?
29 %
−1 pts day
A bet on whether Perim, a small island in the Bab al-Mandeb strait between Yemen and the Horn of Africa, is taken from the Houthis by Dec 31. Whoever holds it overlooks the channel that Red Sea shipping to Suez must pass.
Oct 19 · 29.00 % · −4.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers30
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 33.00 % | |
| Sep 21 | 26.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Sep 22 | 24.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 23 | 27.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Sep 24 | 23.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Sep 25 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 26 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 27 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 28 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 29 | 14.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 16.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 17.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 2low | 12.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 40.00 % | +28.0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 26.00 % | −14.0 pts |
| Oct 5 | 18.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 31.00 % | +13.0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 28.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 31.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 32.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 55.00 % | +23.0 pts |
| Oct 11high | 69.00 % | +14.0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 57.00 % | −12.0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 48.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 34.00 % | −14.0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 35.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 31.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 33.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 30.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 19latest | 29.00 % | −1.00 pts |
Lately
Yemen's government said its forces had taken Dhubab and cut the Mocha road on the push toward Bab al-Mandeb, claims the other side disputed. No further advance along the coast has been reported since. The war's news moved to Houthi missiles and drones aimed at Riyadh's airport, Yanbu and Aramco.