Hegseth out as Defense Sec by Dec 31?
49 %
+7 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Pete Hegseth stops being the US Secretary of Defense before the end of the year. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on reports about his standing at the Pentagon.
Nov 5 · 49.00 % · +27.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | 22.00 % | |
| Oct 7 | 21.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 19.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 19.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10low | 18.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 18.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 19.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 18.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 18.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 19.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 21.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 24.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 18 | 25.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 25.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 30.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 25.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 23.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 22.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 27.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 35.00 % | +8.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 29.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 31 | 36.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 35.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 2 | 28.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 37.00 % | +9.00 pts |
| Nov 4 | 39.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 42.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 5latest | 49.00 % | +7.00 pts |