Predict.fun FDV above $1B day after launch?
59 %
+4 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Predict.fun's token, once it launches, has a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion on its first full day. That is the price of every token that will ever exist, not only those already trading.
Oct 25 · 59.00 % · +23.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers25
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | 36.00 % | |
| Sep 29 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 30 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 1 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 3 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 31.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 31.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6low | 30.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 37.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 37.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 34.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 36.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 43.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 46.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 48.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 47.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 43.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 43.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 37.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 40.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 38.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 55.00 % | +17.0 pts |
| Oct 25latest | 59.00 % | +4.00 pts |
Lately
The fortnight's prediction-market news was about rivals and regulators: Robinhood traders moving beyond sports, a Pentagon memo on insider bets, and the Kalshi CEO arguing against state-led oversight. None of it concerned Predict.fun or its launch, and none of it explains the contract's price.