Putin out as President by 2026?
8 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Vladimir Putin leaves the Russian presidency before a set date. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, so it is a live read on how much money is willing to bet against the durability of the Kremlin's leadership.
Aug 24 · 8.00 % · −11.1% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25high | 9.00 % | |
| Jul 26 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Jul 27 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Jul 28 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Jul 29 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Jul 30 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Jul 31 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 1 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 2 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 3 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 4 | 9.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 5 | 8.00 % | −11.1% |
| Aug 6 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 7 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 8 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 9 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 10 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 11 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 13 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 14 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 16low | 7.00 % | −12.5% |
| Aug 17 | 8.00 % | +14.3% |
| Aug 18 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24latest | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
The contract has drifted down over the past month, from 9% on Jul 25 to a low of 7% on Aug 16 and 8% now. Nothing in the war's course moved it: Ukraine's deep strikes, the 822 drones Russia says it downed overnight, and gasoline rationing in Moscow that capped station sales at 30 litres all left the price flat.