Russia-Ukraine peace talks by Oct 31, 2026?
8 %
−10 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by the end of October 2026. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on envoys' trips, summit proposals and Kremlin statements.
Oct 22 · 8.00 % · −38.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers29
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 46.00 % | |
| Sep 24 | 42.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Sep 25 | 42.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 26 | 45.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Sep 27high | 49.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 47.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 29 | 43.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 45.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 41.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 2 | 46.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 35.00 % | −11.0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 32.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 36.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 28.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 33.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 26.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 26.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 28.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 17.00 % | −11.0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 23.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 21.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 18.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 14.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 9.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 17low | 7.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 8.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 14.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 18.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 22latest | 8.00 % | −10.0 pts |
Lately
After Witkoff's Moscow visit, the Kremlin said Russia would return to US-mediated talks with Ukraine around 10 November, possibly in Abu Dhabi. That is after this contract closes, according to TASS and TRT World. Putin's proposed summit with Trump and Xi would seat no Ukrainian.