Saudi-Houthi ceasefire by Dec 31?
31 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis agree a ceasefire before the year ends. Its price is what traders pay for a yes, and it moves with strikes, mediation and the Red Sea shipping the war hangs over.
Oct 20 · 31.00 % · +5.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers17
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | 26.00 % | |
| Oct 5low | 23.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 24.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 23.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 23.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 24.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 24.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 24.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 24.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 25.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 25.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 30.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 16high | 32.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 31.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 28.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 31.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 20latest | 31.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Houthi strikes suspended operations at the Riyadh airport and Qatar Airways halted flights there; missiles then killed at least 18 recruits in Shabwa. Egypt's council approved troops for Saudi Arabia, Britain is sending Typhoons on defensive patrols, and the investor summit moved to 2027. None of it was a talk or a truce, and none of it explains the rise.