Hormuz traffic normal by Nov 30?
4 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by Nov 30. The strait carries much of the world's seaborne oil and Gulf LNG, so this is a bet on Gulf energy exports flowing freely.
Nov 5 · 4.00 % · −6.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers21
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6high | 10.00 % | |
| Oct 7 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 8.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 7.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 7.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 7.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 5.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 6.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 7.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 6.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 25 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 28 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 30 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 2 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 3 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 4 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 5low | 4.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Nov 5latest | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Iran's offer to reopen the strait shrank from 7 days to 2. Then the US struck Qeshm Island, and Tehran said four tankers were ablaze after hitting mines. One of Iran's five conditions for a deal is recognition of its sovereignty over Hormuz, which would put any reopening on Tehran's terms.