Sudan civil war ceasefire by 2026?
13 %
+2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Sudan's army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces agree a ceasefire before 2026 ends. The war, fought since April 2023, has driven the world's largest displacement crisis.
Oct 25 · 13.00 % · +5.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers24
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | 8.00 % | |
| Sep 27 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 28 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 29low | 7.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 8.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 3 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 5 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 11.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 13.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 11high | 14.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 12.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 13.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 12.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 11.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 9.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 25 | 11.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 25latest | 13.00 % | +2.00 pts |