Total internet blackout in Iran by 2026?
30 %
+2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Iran cuts its whole country off the internet before the end of 2026. Tehran has severed access during past protests and conflict, so the bets move with each sign of crisis.
Oct 27 · 30.00 % · +4.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | 26.00 % | |
| Sep 29 | 15.00 % | −11.0 pts |
| Sep 30low | 14.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 32.00 % | +18.0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 26.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 27.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 23.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 21.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 21.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 36.00 % | +15.0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 16.00 % | −20.0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 21.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 28.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 19.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 31.00 % | +12.0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 25.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 14 | 37.00 % | +12.0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 27.00 % | −10.0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 19.00 % | −8.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 23.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 18 | 24.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 22.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 22.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 26.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 23high | 56.00 % | +30.0 pts |
| Oct 24 | 33.00 % | −23.0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 28.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 27latest | 30.00 % | +2.00 pts |
Lately
The bets peaked as Washington pulled nonessential staff from Saudi Arabia over Iran plots. They eased as Iran offered to reopen Hormuz shipping, Israel's army chief Eyal Zamir warned Washington off striking before Tuesday's election, and Saudi Arabia's defence minister met Iran's president in Tehran.