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DAILY · Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

4 % -20.00% day

A Polymarket contract that pays out if Donald Trump stops being US president before 2027, whether by death, resignation or removal. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on health, legal and political shocks.

Oct 1 · 4.00 % · −33.3% vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers31
whenvaluechange
Sep 26.00 %
Sep 36.00 %0.0%
Sep 46.00 %0.0%
Sep 56.00 %0.0%
Sep 66.00 %0.0%
Sep 76.00 %0.0%
Sep 86.00 %0.0%
Sep 96.00 %0.0%
Sep 106.00 %0.0%
Sep 116.00 %0.0%
Sep 126.00 %0.0%
Sep 136.00 %0.0%
Sep 14high7.00 %+16.7%
Sep 156.00 %−14.3%
Sep 166.00 %0.0%
Sep 176.00 %0.0%
Sep 186.00 %0.0%
Sep 196.00 %0.0%
Sep 206.00 %0.0%
Sep 216.00 %0.0%
Sep 226.00 %0.0%
Sep 236.00 %0.0%
Sep 245.00 %−16.7%
Sep 255.00 %0.0%
Sep 265.00 %0.0%
Sep 275.00 %0.0%
Sep 285.00 %0.0%
Sep 295.00 %0.0%
Sep 305.00 %0.0%
Oct 15.00 %0.0%
Oct 1latest4.00 %−20.0%

Lately

Nothing in the fortnight's news pointed to an early exit: Trump hosted Xi in Washington, rejected Iran's Hormuz proposal, unveiled an Iowa steel mill before the midterms and won a Supreme Court order reviving third-country deportations. With no such event, the bet loses value as the deadline nears and fewer days remain for it to pay.

  1. Court Revives Third-Country Deportations
  2. Trump Unveils Iowa Steel Mill
  3. Trump Rejects Iran Offer