US ends Iran blockade by Nov 30, 2026?
28 %
+5 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the United States lifts its naval blockade of Iran before the end of November 2026. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves with talks, strikes and Hormuz shipping.
Oct 29 · 28.00 % · −15.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers26
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30high | 43.00 % | |
| Oct 1 | 43.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 39.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 37.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 32.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 35.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 40.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 38.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 36.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 33.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 26.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 27.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 27.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 24.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 25.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 22.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 17low | 20.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 21.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 24.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 26.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 22.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 21.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 24.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 23.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 29latest | 28.00 % | +5.00 pts |
Lately
Mid-October brought talk of the US using the 'Mother of All Bombs' on Iran and a secret Netanyahu-Hegseth meeting at a south Israel airbase. Qatar has since tabled a seven-day plan to end the war, but Khamenei backed Tehran's war conditions and US officials warned Gulf states of strikes after 3 November.