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US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

6 % +2 pts day

A Polymarket contract that pays out if Russian diesel arrives in the United States before October ends. It is a bet on whether Washington will buy a fuel that Western sanctions have kept off its market since the invasion of Ukraine.

Oct 17 · 6.00 % · −30.0 pts vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers9
whenvaluechange
Oct 1036.00 %
Oct 1142.00 %+6.00 pts
Oct 12high48.00 %+6.00 pts
Oct 1318.00 %−30.0 pts
Oct 1416.00 %−2.00 pts
Oct 1512.00 %−4.00 pts
Oct 169.00 %−3.00 pts
Oct 17low4.00 %−5.00 pts
Oct 17latest6.00 %+2.00 pts

Lately

Russia said it was ready to ship diesel to the US from October, and Washington's move to lift oil sanctions on Moscow and buy its diesel opened a new rift with Europe over Ukraine. Nothing reported since then explains why bets on a delivery before the deadline then collapsed.