US-Iran final nuclear deal by Dec 2026?
14 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the US and Iran sign a final nuclear agreement by the end of 2026. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves on talks, sanctions and fighting in the Gulf.
Sep 30 · 14.00 % · +27.3% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | 11.00 % | |
| Sep 1 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 3 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 5 | 12.00 % | +9.1% |
| Sep 6 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8low | 10.00 % | −16.7% |
| Sep 9 | 10.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 10 | 10.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 10.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 12 | 11.00 % | +10.0% |
| Sep 13 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 14 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 15 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 16 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 17 | 10.00 % | −9.1% |
| Sep 18 | 11.00 % | +10.0% |
| Sep 19 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 20 | 11.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 21 | 12.00 % | +9.1% |
| Sep 22 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 23high | 16.00 % | +33.3% |
| Sep 24 | 12.00 % | −25.0% |
| Sep 25 | 12.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 26 | 13.00 % | +8.3% |
| Sep 27 | 12.00 % | −7.7% |
| Sep 28 | 13.00 % | +8.3% |
| Sep 29 | 14.00 % | +7.7% |
| Sep 30 | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 30latest | 14.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
Talks in New York turned on the terms for reopening Hormuz. Trump rejected Iran's offer to reopen the strait within 7 days. Hours later, explosions hit Qeshm Island, and Iran said it had seized a second US seabed drone. Two days after that, TASS, citing Axios, reported that Trump would offer Iran sanctions relief.