US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
16 %
+8 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the United States and Iran reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz by November 2. Its price is what traders will stake on a deal that would reopen the Gulf's main oil export route.
Oct 19 · 16.00 % · +2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers9
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | 14.00 % | |
| Oct 13 | 15.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 14high | 16.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 14.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 7.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 17low | 6.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 18 | 9.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 8.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 19latest | 16.00 % | +8.00 pts |
Lately
Traders pulled back as attacks on ships near Hormuz hit a weekly record of 12 and the IRGC said a supertanker struck a mine. They returned once Araghchi, in Baghdad, offered to reopen the strait within 6 days, with talks resuming the next day if Washington accepts, and Gulf states sent Lavrov to Tehran to press Iran on shipping.