US strike on Cuba by December 31?
11 %
−1 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the United States carries out a military strike on Cuba before its deadline. Its price is what traders stake on open conflict between Washington and Havana, 90 miles apart across the Florida Straits.
Nov 13 · 11.00 % · 0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers27
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | 11.00 % | |
| Oct 15 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17 | 12.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 11.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 10.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 21low | 8.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 9.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 10.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 30 | 9.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 31 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 1 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 2 | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 3 | 8.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Nov 4high | 13.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Nov 5 | 8.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Nov 6 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 7 | 11.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 8 | 12.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 9 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 10 | 8.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Nov 11 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 12 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 13 | 12.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Nov 13latest | 11.00 % | −1.00 pts |