US-Yemen ceasefire holds through Oct 31?
82 %
+2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the truce between the United States and Yemen's Houthis is still in force at its deadline. The Houthis sit beside Bab al-Mandeb, the strait Red Sea shipping between Europe and Asia passes.
Oct 13 · 82.00 % · +25.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers24
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21low | 57.00 % | |
| Sep 22 | 73.00 % | +16.0 pts |
| Sep 23 | 62.00 % | −11.0 pts |
| Sep 24 | 68.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Sep 25 | 71.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Sep 26 | 68.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Sep 27 | 73.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 69.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Sep 29 | 76.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Sep 30 | 71.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 76.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 2 | 84.00 % | +8.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 89.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 85.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 89.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 82.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 86.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 8high | 93.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 87.00 % | −6.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 83.00 % | −4.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 59.00 % | −24.0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 77.00 % | +18.0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 80.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 13latest | 82.00 % | +2.00 pts |
Lately
The fighting that pulled the price off its peak did not involve the US. Houthi missiles hit Riyadh airport on two days running, killing at least 3, and Yemen's government said it took Dhubab and cut the Mocha road in a push toward Bab al-Mandeb. Nothing reported accounts for the earlier climb.