Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
56 %
-1.75% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Anthropic will be the largest company by market capitalisation to go public in 2026. It is a bet on one AI firm's listing outpacing every other flotation of the year, priced by traders rather than bankers.
Sep 5 · 56.00 % · +700.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6low | 7.00 % | |
| Aug 7 | 8.00 % | +14.3% |
| Aug 8 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 9 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 10 | 10.00 % | +25.0% |
| Aug 11 | 10.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 9.00 % | −10.0% |
| Aug 13 | 10.00 % | +11.1% |
| Aug 14 | 26.00 % | +160.0% |
| Aug 15 | 29.00 % | +11.5% |
| Aug 16 | 36.00 % | +24.1% |
| Aug 17 | 35.00 % | −2.8% |
| Aug 18 | 44.00 % | +25.7% |
| Aug 19 | 44.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 43.00 % | −2.3% |
| Aug 21 | 48.00 % | +11.6% |
| Aug 22 | 47.00 % | −2.1% |
| Aug 23 | 44.00 % | −6.4% |
| Aug 24 | 43.00 % | −2.3% |
| Aug 25 | 36.00 % | −16.3% |
| Aug 26 | 44.00 % | +22.2% |
| Aug 27 | 58.00 % | +31.8% |
| Aug 28 | 59.00 % | +1.7% |
| Aug 29 | 60.00 % | +1.7% |
| Aug 30 | 59.00 % | −1.7% |
| Aug 31high | 61.00 % | +3.4% |
| Sep 1 | 60.00 % | −1.6% |
| Sep 2 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 3 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 58.00 % | −3.3% |
| Sep 5 | 57.00 % | −1.7% |
| Sep 5latest | 56.00 % | −1.8% |
Lately
The contract's repricing came while prediction markets themselves were under strain: the Ninth Circuit ruled that Kalshi's sports contracts are not "swaps", handing states authority over the venues, Connecticut sued, and a White House teleprompter operator paid to settle an insider-trading case over bets on the president's speeches.