Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister…
4 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Avigdor Lieberman, the Israeli politician who leads the secular-nationalist Yisrael Beiteinu party, becomes Israel's next prime minister. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, not a forecast.
Sep 1 · 4.00 % · 0.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2low | 4.00 % | |
| Aug 3 | 5.00 % | +25.0% |
| Aug 4 | 4.00 % | −20.0% |
| Aug 5 | 5.00 % | +25.0% |
| Aug 6 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 7 | 4.00 % | −20.0% |
| Aug 8high | 6.00 % | +50.0% |
| Aug 9 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 10 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 11 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 13 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 14 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15 | 5.00 % | −16.7% |
| Aug 16 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 17 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 4.00 % | −20.0% |
| Aug 21 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 5.00 % | +25.0% |
| Aug 26 | 6.00 % | +20.0% |
| Aug 27 | 5.00 % | −16.7% |
| Aug 28 | 4.00 % | −20.0% |
| Aug 29 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1latest | 4.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
The contract has barely moved in a month, trading between 4% and 6% and ending where it started. Nothing in the period touched the question of who leads Israel: the news was the conduct of the war — strikes in Gaza and Jenin, the occupation of Christian villages in south Lebanon, and Israeli strikes on a Syrian air base.