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DAILY · Polymarket

Netanyahu next Israel Prime Minister?

34 % −1 pts day

A Polymarket contract on whether Benjamin Netanyahu will be Israel's prime minister after the next government forms. The price is what traders pay for a yes share, and it moves on coalition arithmetic, polls and his court cases.

Oct 11 · 34.00 % · +6.00 pts vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers30
whenvaluechange
Sep 12low28.00 %
Sep 1328.00 %0 pts
Sep 1428.00 %0 pts
Sep 1528.00 %0 pts
Sep 1630.00 %+2.00 pts
Sep 1731.00 %+1.00 pts
Sep 1831.00 %0 pts
Sep 1928.00 %−3.00 pts
Sep 2028.00 %0 pts
Sep 2130.00 %+2.00 pts
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Sep 2828.00 %−2.00 pts
Sep 2930.00 %+2.00 pts
Sep 3031.00 %+1.00 pts
Oct 133.00 %+2.00 pts
Oct 233.00 %0 pts
Oct 334.00 %+1.00 pts
Oct 436.00 %+2.00 pts
Oct 5high37.00 %+1.00 pts
Oct 636.00 %−1.00 pts
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Oct 1135.00 %−1.00 pts
Oct 11latest34.00 %−1.00 pts

Lately

Israeli agencies traded blame over the vetting behind a cockpit attack on a Flydubai flight to Tel Aviv, and Drop Site reported a CIA warning that Israel risks civil war. Neither says who forms the next government, and nothing else in the fortnight's news accounts for the betting.

  1. Israeli Agencies Trade Blame
  2. CIA Warns Israel Fracturing