Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4 %
+100.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the Norwegian Nobel Committee names Trump its Peace Prize laureate. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, not a forecast, and it tracks whether his diplomacy looks like something Oslo would reward.
Sep 15 · 4.00 % · +100.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16low | 2.00 % | |
| Aug 17 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 3.00 % | +50.0% |
| Aug 19 | 2.00 % | −33.3% |
| Aug 20 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 27 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 3 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 5 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 6 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 9 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 10 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 12 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 13 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 14 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 15 | 2.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 15latest | 4.00 % | +100.0% |
Lately
Trump said in Dublin the Iran war would end "very soon", then in Doonbeg tied that ending to the midterms — a peace on an electoral clock. He also ordered a halt to strikes on Russian diesel refineries, with US petrol at $4.27 a gallon and Brent near $109.50 a barrel.