Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil runoff by <4%?
32 %
+28.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil's presidential runoff by a margin of less than four percentage points. Its price is what traders will pay for a narrow win, not a forecast of one.
Oct 9 · 32.00 % · −41.8% vs the window’s open
the numbers5
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6high | 55.00 % | |
| Oct 7 | 48.00 % | −12.7% |
| Oct 8 | 33.00 % | −31.3% |
| Oct 9low | 25.00 % | −24.2% |
| Oct 9latest | 32.00 % | +28.0% |
Lately
Brazil voted for a president, governors and lawmakers on Sunday, and the presidential race went to a runoff. Bolsonaro's strong showing left the left on the ropes, and traders paid most for a narrow win in the days straight after the count. Nothing reported since explains why that bet then lost ground.