Iran withdraw from NPT by 2027?
9 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on Iran formally quitting the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty by 2027. The treaty lets a member leave on three months' notice, and leaving would end the legal basis for inspections of Iran's sites.
Nov 1 · 9.00 % · −2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers26
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | 11.00 % | |
| Oct 3 | 12.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 5 | 11.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 11.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 12.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 10.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 10.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 11.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 12.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 19high | 14.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 14.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 12.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 24 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 27 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 28 | 12.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 30 | 14.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 1low | 9.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Nov 1latest | 9.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
A lawmaker's claim, reported by Iranian state news agency Mehr, that parliament would unanimously quit the nuclear treaty came as three days of Qatari-mediated talks in Doha produced no deal. Neither accounts for traders paying less for an exit.