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DAILY · Polymarket

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential…

4 % +0.00% day

A Polymarket contract on whether Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US presidential election. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it moves with candidate news rather than with any poll.

Aug 30 · 4.00 % · −20.0% vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers32
whenvaluechange
Jul 31high5.00 %
Aug 15.00 %0.0%
Aug 25.00 %0.0%
Aug 35.00 %0.0%
Aug 45.00 %0.0%
Aug 54.00 %−20.0%
Aug 64.00 %0.0%
Aug 74.00 %0.0%
Aug 84.00 %0.0%
Aug 94.00 %0.0%
Aug 105.00 %+25.0%
Aug 115.00 %0.0%
Aug 125.00 %0.0%
Aug 135.00 %0.0%
Aug 144.00 %−20.0%
Aug 154.00 %0.0%
Aug 164.00 %0.0%
Aug 174.00 %0.0%
Aug 184.00 %0.0%
Aug 194.00 %0.0%
Aug 204.00 %0.0%
Aug 214.00 %0.0%
Aug 224.00 %0.0%
Aug 234.00 %0.0%
Aug 244.00 %0.0%
Aug 25low3.00 %−25.0%
Aug 263.00 %0.0%
Aug 273.00 %0.0%
Aug 283.00 %0.0%
Aug 293.00 %0.0%
Aug 304.00 %+33.3%
Aug 30latest4.00 %0.0%

Lately

The contract has drifted down across the month, from 5% on Jul 31 to a low of 3% on Aug 25 and 4% now, with no Harris news behind it. What moved in this market was its plumbing: the Ninth Circuit ruled Kalshi's sports bets aren't "swaps," and a White House aide was fined for betting on speeches he read early.

  1. Ninth Circuit Curbs Kalshi
  2. Aide Fined for Speech Bets