Lula, Eizenkot PM, Dems win Senate?
44 %
+36 pts day
A Polymarket parlay that pays only if three separate things happen: Lula wins Brazil's presidency, Gadi Eisenkot becomes Israel's prime minister, and Democrats take the US Senate. If any one leg fails, it pays nothing.
Oct 26 · 44.00 % · +37.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers19
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | 7.00 % | |
| Oct 7 | 5.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 6.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 6.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14low | 3.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 8.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 18 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 9.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 8.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 10.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 8.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 8.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 26latest | 44.00 % | +36.0 pts |
Lately
The Israeli leg is the one the news carried: polls put Eisenkot 8 to 10 points ahead of Netanyahu going into Tuesday's vote, despite Trump endorsing Netanyahu and Pete Hegseth's unannounced visit to him days before the election. None of the reporting here touches Lula's race or the Senate.