Lula wins Brazil 2026 election?
42 %
+5.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins Brazil's 2026 presidential election. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, set by bets on a race that decides who runs Latin America's largest economy.
Oct 2 · 42.00 % · −25.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers31
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | 56.00 % | |
| Sep 4 | 55.00 % | −1.8% |
| Sep 5 | 56.00 % | +1.8% |
| Sep 6 | 56.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 57.00 % | +1.8% |
| Sep 8high | 59.00 % | +3.5% |
| Sep 9 | 53.00 % | −10.2% |
| Sep 10 | 53.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 46.00 % | −13.2% |
| Sep 12 | 46.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 13 | 47.00 % | +2.2% |
| Sep 14 | 48.00 % | +2.1% |
| Sep 15 | 46.00 % | −4.2% |
| Sep 16 | 47.00 % | +2.2% |
| Sep 17 | 45.00 % | −4.3% |
| Sep 18 | 45.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 19 | 43.00 % | −4.4% |
| Sep 20 | 41.00 % | −4.7% |
| Sep 21 | 42.00 % | +2.4% |
| Sep 22 | 40.00 % | −4.8% |
| Sep 23 | 42.00 % | +5.0% |
| Sep 24 | 42.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 25 | 44.00 % | +4.8% |
| Sep 26 | 43.00 % | −2.3% |
| Sep 27 | 44.00 % | +2.3% |
| Sep 28 | 43.00 % | −2.3% |
| Sep 29 | 42.00 % | −2.3% |
| Sep 30 | 41.00 % | −2.4% |
| Oct 1low | 39.00 % | −4.9% |
| Oct 2 | 40.00 % | +2.6% |
| Oct 2latest | 42.00 % | +5.0% |