Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican…
17 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Marco Rubio becomes the Republican nominee for president in 2028. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, so it tracks how a crowded, unsettled primary field is being bet on years before a vote.
Aug 29 · 17.00 % · −37.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30 | 27.00 % | |
| Jul 31high | 28.00 % | +3.7% |
| Aug 1 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 2 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 3 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 4 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 5 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 6 | 28.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 7 | 24.00 % | −14.3% |
| Aug 8 | 23.00 % | −4.2% |
| Aug 9 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 10 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 11 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 13 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 14 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 16 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 17 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 23.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 22.00 % | −4.3% |
| Aug 22 | 21.00 % | −4.5% |
| Aug 23 | 20.00 % | −4.8% |
| Aug 24 | 20.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 20.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 19.00 % | −5.0% |
| Aug 27 | 19.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28low | 17.00 % | −10.5% |
| Aug 29 | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29latest | 17.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
The contract has drifted down from 28% on 31 July to 17% on 28 August, with nothing in the news around it about Rubio. What moved was the venue: the Ninth Circuit ruled on 28 August that a CFTC licence does not pre-empt Nevada gambling law, and Connecticut sued Kalshi the day before.