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DAILY · Polymarket

Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential…

13 % +8.33% day

A Polymarket contract on whether Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US presidential election. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, quoted as a percentage, and it moves as candidates enter, exit or stumble rather than on any poll.

Aug 14 · 13.00 % · −7.1% vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
the numbers31
whenvaluechange
Jul 15high14.00 %
Jul 1614.00 %0.0%
Jul 1714.00 %0.0%
Jul 1814.00 %0.0%
Jul 1914.00 %0.0%
Jul 2014.00 %0.0%
Jul 2114.00 %0.0%
Jul 2214.00 %0.0%
Jul 2314.00 %0.0%
Jul 2414.00 %0.0%
Jul 2513.00 %−7.1%
Jul 2613.00 %0.0%
Jul 27low12.00 %−7.7%
Jul 2812.00 %0.0%
Jul 3012.00 %0.0%
Jul 3112.00 %0.0%
Aug 113.00 %+8.3%
Aug 213.00 %0.0%
Aug 313.00 %0.0%
Aug 413.00 %0.0%
Aug 513.00 %0.0%
Aug 613.00 %0.0%
Aug 713.00 %0.0%
Aug 813.00 %0.0%
Aug 913.00 %0.0%
Aug 1012.00 %−7.7%
Aug 1112.00 %0.0%
Aug 1212.00 %0.0%
Aug 1312.00 %0.0%
Aug 1412.00 %0.0%
Aug 14latest13.00 %+8.3%

Lately

Nothing in the material explains the move. The contract drifted down over the month, from 14% on 15 July to a low of 12% on 27 July, and sits at 13%. The prediction-market news in the window concerns the venues themselves — a federal regulator overriding a state ban on Kalshi in New York, and payout concentration on Polymarket — not the field.

  1. Regulator Overrides State Ban
  2. Few Accounts Won Most Bets